Market Brief

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Author

黎健聰先生 (Keith Lai)
高級交易員

現任職輝立高級交易員,對投資股票、期貨、期權、商品、債券、基金交易經驗豐富。本人樂意為客戶提供投資分析及買賣策略。歡迎各位來電交流心得。
Phone:
36670668

SPDR Gold Trust(ETF) (2840.HK) – 黃金撈底,買黃金ETF

Friday, November 4, 2022 Views8984

主要業務:

 

SPDR Gold Trust是一家投資信託基金公司。信托的投資目標是讓股份反映金條價格的表現,減去信託的開支。信託的商業活動是黃金投資。信託不時創建和贖回股票,但在一個或多個籃子中(一籃子等於100,000股股票)。信託持續向某些授權參與者(授權參與者)發行籃子中的股票。Baskets的創建和贖回僅用於交換信託或信託分配黃金數量以及由創建或贖回的籃子代表的任何現金

 

 

業務展望:

 
黃金價格預期受惠以下因為素而上升:
 
1)黃金需求傳統旺季(第四季尾至第一季農曆新年)
 
2)中台地緣政治發生變化引致金融市場波動令避險資產價格上升
 
3)北韓地緣政治危機引致金融市場波動令避險資產價格上升
 
4)中美經濟在為減通漲而加息或使資產價格波動引發金融市場下跌風險
 

 

股價分析:

 

黃金價格近幾年在USD1900阻力及USD1600支持位上落波幅,自2022年6月跌穿穿250天線後,在今年美聯署局加息以來跌至USD1620水平再次出現整固,而黃金旺季時黃金價格上升機會大增下或會再次升上250天線USD1800水平。

 

而近日黃金價格在USD1620 上落整固息故買入黃金ETF,這是買入黃金的機會,襯低吸納,投資在近三個月黃金旺季的週期上升的機遇。

 

現價: HKD 1207

52週高/低: HKD 1502/HKD 1181

市值: HKD 381,524.38 M

每單位淨資產值:HKD 1194.31

 

 

 

股價SMA:

10天

20天

50天

100天

150天

200天

250天

$1203.6

$1210.4

$1227.7

$1262.2

$1301.2

$1319.7

$1318.7

 

 

 

 

 

(資料來源: 股運通3/11/2022)

 

 

本人分析在受惠黃金旺季黃金價格預期上升,將為股價帶來升值。

 

買入建議:

 

建議買入價:$1190  止蝕價:$1150

短線目標價:$1318

 

 

投資風險:

 

1)黃金價格下跌

2)股市大升及通帳下降的情況出現或引致黃金投資價值下降

 

本人黎健聰為證監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益。

This report is produced and is being distributed in Hong Kong by Phillip Securities Group with the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) licence under Phillip Securities (HK) LTD and/ or Phillip Commodities (HK) LTD (“Phillip”). Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip believed to be accurate. Phillip does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The information is for informative purposes only and is not intended to or create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information provided do not constitute investment advice, solicitation, purchase or sell any investment product(s). Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. You should refer to your Financial Advisor for investment advice based on your investment experience, financial situation, any of your particular needs and risk preference. For details of different product's risks, please visit the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk. Phillip (or employees) may have positions/ interests in relevant investment products. Phillip (or one of its affiliates) may from time to time provide services for, or solicit services or other business from, any company mentioned in this report. The above information is owned by Phillip and protected by copyright and intellectual property Laws. It may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written consent from Phillip.
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